Outcalled
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31?

0%

probability

-1.1%

24h change

$0

24h volume

$0

liquidity

Yes

0%

No

100%

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Quick call

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market ends: December 31, 2025