Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
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12%
probability
--
24h change
$2K
24h volume
$20K
liquidity
Yes
12%
No
89%
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Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market ends January 1, 2027
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