Outcalled
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

97%

probability

-1.5%

24h change

$7K

24h volume

$16K

liquidity

Yes

97%

No

3%

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Quick call

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada holds a majority of seats in the House of Commons for any period of time between December 12, 2025 and June 30, 2026, otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if Parliament is dissolved before June 30, 2026. This markets resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the Liberal Party of Canada, not any alliance or coalition of which it may be a part. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Market ends: June 30, 2026