
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
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42%
probability
--
24h change
$3K
24h volume
$21K
liquidity
Yes
42%
No
58%
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Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any power plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market ends: April 30, 2026