Outcalled
Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

6%

probability

+1.1%

24h change

$5K

24h volume

$35K

liquidity

Yes

6%

No

94%

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Quick call

Human moon landing in 2026?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market ends: December 31, 2026