
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
Share:Trade this
11%
probability
--
24h change
$5K
24h volume
$18K
liquidity
Yes
11%
No
89%
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Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market ends: June 30, 2026