Outcalled
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

25%

probability

-4.5%

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$12K

liquidity

Yes

25%

No

75%

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Quick call

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Resolution Criteria

A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market ends May 31, 2026

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