
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Share:Trade this
18%
probability
--
24h change
$18K
24h volume
$55K
liquidity
Yes
18%
No
83%
Think you know the answer?
Put real money on your prediction.
Quick call
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market ends: December 9, 2026