Outcalled
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

41%

probability

-18.5%

24h change

$4K

24h volume

$2K

liquidity

Yes

41%

No

60%

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Quick call

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market ends: December 31, 2026

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