
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
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24%
probability
--
24h change
$374
24h volume
$24K
liquidity
Yes
24%
No
76%
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Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market ends June 30, 2026
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