Outcalled
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

38%

probability

-6.0%

24h change

$343

24h volume

$2K

liquidity

Yes

38%

No

62%

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Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

Resolution Criteria

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).

Market ends May 17, 2026

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