Interest Rate Odds: Live Rate Prediction Market Data
Interest rate odds from prediction markets track what traders expect from central bank policy decisions around the world. From the Federal Reserve to the ECB and Bank of England, these markets provide real-time probability data on rate paths.
Interest rate decisions move every asset class. The markets below give you a trader-consensus view of where rates are headed, powered by real money and updated continuously.
5
Active markets
$1.7M
24h volume
0.3%
Biggest mover
Live Interest Rate Odds Markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Trade these markets for real
Think you know what happens next? Put real money behind your predictions on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market platform.
Start trading on PolymarketFree to sign up. Start trading today.
Related odds topics
Fed Rate Odds
Live Fed rate odds from prediction markets. Real-money probabilities on FOMC decisions, rate cuts, rate hikes, and Federal Reserve policy.
Recession Odds
Live recession odds from prediction markets. Real-money probabilities on US and global recession timing, depth, and economic indicators.
Stock Market Odds
Live stock market odds from prediction markets. Real-money probabilities on market milestones, index targets, and equity market outcomes.
Election Odds
Live election odds from prediction markets. Real-money probabilities on upcoming elections, candidates, and races updated every 2 minutes.
Trump Odds
Live Trump odds from prediction markets. Real-money data on Trump-related outcomes, approval ratings, and political futures updated in real time.
Presidential Odds
Live presidential odds from prediction markets. See who traders think will win the next presidential election with real-money probability data.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current interest rate odds?
Interest rate odds cover upcoming central bank meetings and longer-term rate paths. Check the live markets above for the latest real-money probabilities on rate decisions.
How do interest rate prediction markets compare to CME FedWatch?
Both tools measure rate expectations, but prediction markets can cover a broader range of outcomes and timelines. They also benefit from a diverse trader base beyond just fixed-income professionals.
Why do interest rate odds matter?
Interest rate expectations drive asset prices across stocks, bonds, crypto, and real estate. Understanding rate odds helps you anticipate market movements and position accordingly.
Want to test your prediction skills?