
Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?
Total Volume
$11K
24h Volume
$11K
Markets
17
Liquidity
$76K

Joe Biden
$3K today
88%

Xi Jinping
$2K today
1%

Melania Trump
$2K today
2%

J.D. Vance
$1K today
1%

Benjamin Netanyahu
$964 today
2%

Viktor Orbán
$937 today
2%

Vladimir Putin
$782 today
2%

Pope Leo XIV
$644 today
23%

Barack Obama
$325 today
56%

Alex Jones
$317 today
16%

Elon Musk
$178 today
5%

Tucker Carlson
$87 today
50%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
$60 today
50%

Pam Bondi
$33 today
7%

Megyn Kelly
$0 today
31%

Candace Owens
$0 today
33%

Keir Starmer
$0 today
45%
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About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.