
Military action against Iran ends on...?
Total Volume
$91K
24h Volume
$44K
Markets
32
Liquidity
$191K

April 7
$6K today
2%

April 2
$6K today
1%

April 1
$5K today
0%

April 3
$3K today
3%

Military action through April 30
$2K today
51%

Before April
$1K today
0%

April 20
$1K today
1%

April 14
$1K today
2%

April 9
$1K today
1%

April 21
$1K today
1%

April 5
$1K today
2%

April 19
$1K today
1%

April 13
$1K today
2%

April 12
$1K today
2%

April 4
$1K today
2%

April 16
$983 today
4%

April 11
$804 today
2%

April 6
$728 today
2%

April 22
$656 today
1%

April 30
$631 today
5%

April 8
$571 today
1%

April 27
$555 today
2%

April 18
$553 today
1%

April 28
$531 today
5%

April 29
$531 today
4%

April 15
$531 today
2%

April 24
$531 today
1%

April 25
$531 today
1%

April 10
$531 today
1%

April 26
$531 today
1%

April 23
$531 today
1%

April 17
$531 today
2%
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About this event
This market will resolve according to the next date Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30), on which neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action through April 30."
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.