
Military action against Iran ends by...?
Total Volume
$41K
24h Volume
$11K
Markets
30
Liquidity
$68K

April 2
$4K today
2%

April 1
$3K today
0%

April 3
$2K today
4%

April 30
$1K today
49%

April 14
$913 today
19%

April 15
$140 today
33%

April 4
$39 today
14%

April 27
$38 today
45%

April 9
$17 today
20%

April 25
$5 today
28%

April 5
$0 today
40%

April 6
$0 today
34%

April 7
$0 today
42%

April 8
$0 today
42%

April 10
$0 today
42%

April 11
$0 today
42%

April 12
$0 today
41%

April 13
$0 today
42%

April 16
$0 today
39%

April 17
$0 today
44%

April 18
$0 today
44%

April 19
$0 today
44%

April 20
$0 today
44%

April 21
$0 today
44%

April 22
$0 today
44%

April 23
$0 today
44%

April 24
$0 today
45%

April 26
$0 today
44%

April 28
$0 today
44%

April 29
$0 today
44%
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About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.