
Military action against Iran ends by...?
Total Volume
$303K
24h Volume
$36K
Markets
25
Liquidity
$37K

April 15
$13K today
21%

March 31
$9K today
0%

April 30
$5K today
58%

June 30
$5K today
89%

May 31
$3K today
87%

March 30
$149 today
0%

March 12
$0 today
0%

March 16
$0 today
0%

March 20
$0 today
0%

March 24
$0 today
0%

March 28
$0 today
0%

March 11
$0 today
0%

March 15
$0 today
0%

March 19
$0 today
0%

March 23
$0 today
0%

March 27
$0 today
0%

March 13
$0 today
0%

March 17
$0 today
0%

March 21
$0 today
0%

March 25
$0 today
0%

March 29
$0 today
0%

March 14
$0 today
0%

March 18
$0 today
0%

March 22
$0 today
0%

March 26
$0 today
0%
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About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.