
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Total Volume
$15.2M
24h Volume
$301K
Markets
13
Liquidity
$1.1M

10 (250 bps)
$89K today
0%

9 (225 bps)
$75K today
0%

11 (275 bps)
$26K today
-0.1%
0%

12+ (300+ bps)
$23K today
-0.3%
1%

0 (0 bps)
$21K today
-0.1%
32%

8 (200 bps)
$17K today
-0.1%
1%

5 (125 bps)
$16K today
2%

6 (150 bps)
$11K today
+0.1%
1%

1 (25 bps)
$10K today
28%

7 (175 bps)
$6K today
+0.1%
1%

4 (100 bps)
$4K today
6%

2 (50 bps)
$3K today
+1.0%
19%

3 (75 bps)
$418 today
-1.0%
10%
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About this event
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.