
DeepSeek V4 released on...?
Total Volume
$23K
24h Volume
$23K
Markets
23
Liquidity
$27K

On or prior to April 24
$10K today
97%

Not released by May 15
$3K today
1%

May 6
$943 today
0%

May 1
$807 today
0%

May 7
$708 today
0%

May 10
$679 today
0%

May 5
$672 today
0%

May 3
$654 today
0%

May 4
$653 today
0%

May 2
$623 today
0%

May 11
$535 today
0%

April 28
$508 today
6%

May 8
$500 today
1%

April 29
$485 today
1%

May 12
$451 today
4%

May 14
$450 today
8%

May 13
$450 today
4%

May 15
$401 today
6%

April 30
$328 today
1%

May 9
$235 today
21%

April 25
$193 today
6%

April 27
$192 today
8%

April 26
$150 today
19%
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About this event
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.